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Kurt's avatar

Thanks for this. Couple this essay with an understanding of the planned development of China's energy production, and an entirely different picture becomes clear.

In the Manhattan Institute's "Energy Transition Delusion" study of a few years ago, they describe a process remarkably similar to China's plan for the energy transition, which simply stated, requires reliance on fossil fuels for the near future before reductions in fossil fuel use can be implemented and production shifted to nuclear and renewables. Even with nuclear and renewables, there will be periods where some reliance on fossil fuels will be necessary to provide power.

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Yuzhe HE's avatar

Thanks for sharing!

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Kurt's avatar

Well, I appreciated the essay because I want what gets people the power they need to lead a dignified life, meaning an expanding economy, and am tired of the continued misrepresentations of China's development. China, by my view, has an actual plan that will work. No one else, and definitely not the USofA, has a viable plan for the necessary energy transition.

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Dors's avatar

Even with nuclear and renewables, there will be periods where some reliance on fossil fuels will be necessary to provide power.

Yes, absolutely. And, if we exclude details, that's basic reasoning, excellently described in a way that everyone can understand it here: https://clive.semmens.org.uk/Energy/Intermittency.html

Now, having said that, as an ordinary member of the public, I note that many renewables sceptics base their scepticism on points such as these:

* The production of the very machinery of the renewables, e.g. solar panels and wind turbines, involves heavy use of fossil fuels energy -- and it's far from certain that the technological development will revolutionise to such an extent that it will free the world from a high degree of use of fossil fuels.

* Within a few decades, the current renewables' material structures would deteriorate and become rubbish, creating a mountain of waste disposal problems, especially because they include highly toxic substances

These aren't just talking points of obscure bigots. They're regularly made by, viz., people the former MEP Mislav Kolakusic, an outspoken critic of Western policies.

My hope is that the renewables advocates can counter these arguments as effectively as Mr. Fishman has done in the above essay.

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lsgv's avatar

There is no such thing as green energy.

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